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Baca County, CO Weather and Climate Synopsis
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1045 AM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1014 AM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ARE SPREADING SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN
CWA RIGHT NOW IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD WEAK UPPER LOW CENTERED
JUST NORTH OF COLORADO. NEED TO ADJUST POPS AND CLOUD COVER BASED
ON THE CURRENT REAL MOTION OF THIS SITUATION. THERE IS SOME COOLER
AIR AND BRISK NORTH WINDS TO MOVE DOWN OVER US AS WELL.
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY NOT GET MUCH WARMER THAN CURRENT
READINGS.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, Hourly Obs., [2nd Source TWC]

BACA County, Colorado Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps: Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Regional Hourly Observations For BACA County
1200 AM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015
...PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLO. SPRINGS  CLOUDY    50  45  83 E10       30.37R                  
A. F. ACADEMY  CLOUDY    48  46  93 N2        30.37R                  
ELLICOTT       CLOUDY   N/A N/A N/A NE10      30.36R                  
FALCON         CLOUDY    46  44  94 N6        30.40R                  
FORT CARSON    NOT AVBL                                               
LIMON          CLOUDY    46  42  86 N12       30.35R                  
MONUMENT HILL  FOG       43  41  93 W6        30.39R VSB 1/4          
TRINIDAD       CLOUDY    50  47  89 E8        30.36R                  
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Colorado
Based on observations at 1200am MDT, Saturday May 30, 2015
Across Colorado...temperatures are near 65 degrees west, near 48 degrees central, and near 54 degrees east. Current sky conditions are clear west, mostly cloudy central, and not available east. In the west, relative humidity is near 34%, and the dew point is near 36 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 86%, and the dew point is near 44 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 86%, and the dew point is near 50 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are calm west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the east at 8 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the north at 12 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to not available. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 65 degrees at GRAND JUNCTION. The lowest temperature is 31 degrees at LEADVILLE.


US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BACA County,CO
633 PM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015

 DAY ONE  TONIGHT

AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING  TRIGGERING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THE PRIMARY AREAS EXPECTED TO SEE STORMS INCLUDE THE PIKES PEAK
REGION AND THE I-25 CORRIDOR AREA SOUTH OF PUEBLO. THE REMAINING
AREAS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO WILL ALSO SEE A CHANCE FOR EVENING
STORMS  BUT THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MORE ISOLATED.

PRIMARY STORM THREATS THIS EVENING WILL INCLUDE LIGHTNING  HEAVY
RAIN AND ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL LEADING TO LOCAL URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING  AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH.

AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH AND FAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN COLORADO TONIGHT. FOLKS SHOULD STAY AWAY FROM THE BANKS
OF RIVERS AND STREAMS AS SATURATED GROUND CAN EASILY BREAK OFF
AND FALL INTO FAST FLOWING  ICY WATER.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD  ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THE
PRIMARY THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING  GUSTY WINDS  SMALL
HAIL AND BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN COLORADO.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For BACA County, CO
1144 PM MDT FRI MAY 29 2015
TONIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. LOWS 33 TO 40. LIGHT WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS 50 TO 63. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS 39 TO 46. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 59 TO 72. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43 TO 49. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 63 TO 73.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43 TO 49.
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 64 TO 73. LOWS 43 TO 49.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 55 TO 71. LOWS 42 TO 48.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Colorado
                             COLORADO                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 JUN 4-JUN 8 JUN 6-JUN 12   JUN        JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal       Normal      Below      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
//////////////////////////
MAY 30TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1879...
A major outbreak of severe weather occurred in Kansas and western Missouri.
In Kansas, tornadoes killed eighteen persons at Delphos, and thirty persons
at Irving. Two tornadoes struck the town of Irving within a few minutes
time virtually wiping the small Kansas community off the map. The second
tornado was perhaps two miles wide, and exhibited multiple vortices. (David
Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)
...1948...
A railroad bed acting as a dam gave way during a flood along the Columbia
River destroying the town of Vanport OR. The nearly 19,000 residents
escaped with little more than the clothes on their backs. (David Ludlum)
Twenty carloads of glass were needed in Denver CO to replace that destroyed
by a severe hailstorm. (The Weather Channel)
...1961...
A thunderstorm in Buffalo Gap, Saskatchewan, dropped over 10 inches of rain 
in less than an hour, breaking a long drought. (NWS Louisville)
...1983...
Unusually high temperatures throughout the western United States caused great 
runoff from snow pack in the Rocky Mountains.  This caused flooding which washed 
out bridges and caused mudslides in Nevada.
...1985...
The temperature in Oklahoma City reached a sizzling 104 degrees, making it the 
highest ever for so early in the season.  Also, this marked the first time the 
temperature had reached the 100 degree mark in the month of May for the city.
...1986...
Hanford, Washington hit a scorching 104 degrees, breaking the all-time record 
high temperature for May for eastern Washington.  Yakima, Washington hit 102 
degrees, a record high for the month of May for Yakima.  Record heat also 
continued across the northern 1/2 of the country with records falling in 
Baltimore, Boise, Duluth, Marquette and Reno.  Newark, New Jersey had its 4th 
day in a row over 90 degrees, making this a record breaking May heat wave for 
Newark.  The previous record  heat wave was from May 28-30, 1931.
...1991...
3 thunderstorms produced 5.65 inches of rain in a 3 hour period across New 
Marlboro and Sheffield, Massachusetts resulting in severe flooding.  Many roads 
and several bridges were washed out eventually isolating the 2 towns.  About 89 
miles of road were damaged.  Typical washouts ranged up to 8 feet deep and roads 
that were 25 feet wide were reduced to only 10 feet.  Power outages were 
widespread and a state of emergency was declared.  The flooding was the worst 
since 1955 for the area and total damage was estimated near 10 million dollars.
...1998...
Most of the town of Spencer, South Dakota was destroyed by an F4 tornado.  6 
people were killed, 150 were injured, and total damage was $18 million.
...2004...
A large tornado outbreak struck the Ohio Valley, including an F3 twister 
that damaged 80 percent of Marengo, Indiana and resulted in one fatality.
[NWS Louisville]
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Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
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