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Baca County, CO Weather and Climate Synopsis
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
842 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.UPDATE AND CORRECTION...
ISSUED AT 840 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

THE SHALLOW LAYER OF HUMIDITY AND DUST THAT BLEW IN LATE LAST NIGHT 
BEHIND A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT HAS GATHERED UP AGAINST THE FRONT 
RANGE FOOTHILLS EARLY THIS MORNING THE RESULT OF EAST-NORTHEASTERLY 
WINDS. THE HAZE WAS MOST CONCENTRATED FROM JUST SOUTH OF DENVER 
NORTH TO AROUND LONGMONT. HENCE THE VERY HAZY SUNSHINE. FARTHER OUT 
ON THE PLAINS...NWLY WINDS CONTINUE TO BE QUITE GUSTY AT THE MOMENT 
WITH GUSTS IN THE 30-35KT RANGE ACRS CNTRL AND ERN WELD...MORGAN... 
WASHINGTON...PHILLIPS AND SEDGWICK COUNTIES. THE BACK EDGE TO THIS 
BAND OF STRONG/GUSTY POST-FRONTAL WINDS CURRENTLY RESIDES JUST NORTH 
OF THE WYOMING BORDER. OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...SHOULD SEE THE 
HAZE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS FLUSHING OUT WITH 10-20KT N-NELY WINDS. 
AFTER WHICH TIME...WINDS WITHIN THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND ACRS THE NERN 
PLAINS SHOULD STEADILY SUBSIDE AS THEY VEER AROUND TO AN EAST-
SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE WE/RE STILL 
IN FOR A COOLER DAY BUT WITH THE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...IT MAY NOT FEEL 
THAT MUCH COOLER.


.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS MOVING IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT. THE CLOUD
BAND THAT WAS OVER THE AREA DURING THE NIGHT IS DISSIPATING AND
THE SHOWERS AROUND SUMMIT COUNTY APPEAR TO HAVE ENDED. WITH DRY
AIR AND STABILITY...IT LOOKS LIKE WE SHOULD HAVE A NEARLY CLEAR
DAY. MAIN BURST OF WIND HAS GONE BY...BUT PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD
KEEP NORTH WINDS GOING ON THE PLAINS MOST OF THE DAY...SLACKENING
AND TURNING MORE EASTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DROPPED FORECAST LOWS
A LITTLE TONIGHT WITH DRY/MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY THE
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. 

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE VERY WARM AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
MIGRATES FROM THE GREAT BASIN ON MONDAY THEN OVER COLORADO ON
TUESDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE IN
THE MOUNTAINS FOR AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWER OR TSTM ON MONDAY
AFTN. THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE EAST BY WEDNESDAY WITH THE
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT INCREASING. SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN COLORADO AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING TROUGH. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF QPF BUT WL GO WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND NORTHEAST
PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST PLAINS IN THE AFTN. A MORE
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE WEATHER WILL OCCUR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO DROP OUT OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO NORTHEAST COLORADO. THE COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH NORTHEAST COLORADO IN THE MORNING WITH UPSLOPE
DEVELOPING THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE FRONT RANGE. THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS
WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST COLORADO LATE THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT.
BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS SHOW THIS SOLUTION SO WL GO WITH CHANCE
POPS ON THURSDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL START TO SHIFT TO THE EAST OF
COLORADO ON FRIDAY. IT WILL BE A LITTLE DRY ON FRIDAY BUT REMAIN
COOL. BY SATURDAY...THE FLOW ALOFT BECOME MORE ZONAL WITH A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT. IT WILL BE DRY THROUGH THE DAY WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK TO AROUND 60. THE FIRE DANGER
WILL BE ELEVATED MONDAY/TUESDAY WITH THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS IN THE AFTERNOON. NO
HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME AS THE WIND AT THE SFC AND ALOFT ARE NOT A
SIGNIFICANT ISSUE. THE COOLER/WETTER CONDITIONS WILL BRING SOME
RELIEF TO THE REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, Hourly Obs., [2nd Source TWC]

BACA County, Colorado Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps: Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Regional Hourly Observations For BACA County
100 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015
...PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLO. SPRINGS  MOSUNNY   56  20  24 S6        30.31F                  
A. F. ACADEMY  SUNNY     53  18  25 S6        30.31F                  
ELLICOTT       SUNNY    N/A N/A N/A NE13G18   30.30F                  
FALCON         SUNNY     55  19  24 N3        30.34S                  
FORT CARSON    NOT AVBL                                               
LIMON          SUNNY     56  23  27 NW10G23   30.30F                  
MONUMENT HILL  SUNNY     48  21  34 N3        30.31F                  
TRINIDAD       SUNNY     58  20  22 MISG      30.32F                  
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Colorado
Based on observations at 100pm MDT, Sunday March 29, 2015
Across Colorado...temperatures are near 69 degrees west, near 55 degrees central, and near 67 degrees east. Current sky conditions are sunny west, sunny central, and partly sunny east. In the west, relative humidity is near 9%, and the dew point is near 8 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 26%, and the dew point is near 21 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 16%, and the dew point is near 20 degrees. Winds are variable at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northeast at 3 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the north at 18 mph with gusts at 31 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 73 degrees at CORTEZ. The lowest temperature is 43 degrees at WOLF CREEK PAS.


US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BACA County,CO
1200 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015

 DAY ONE  THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING  MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 160.
THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS
TO 45 MPH. SPOTTY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW UP TO 1 INCH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ABOVE 10000 FEET.

AREAS OF BLOWING DUST WILL BE FOUND THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE PLAINS
EAST OF LA JUNTA. VISIBILITIES MAY DROP TO 3 TO 5 MILES AT TIMES.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
MONDAY IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS  ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.
THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.

ON WEDNESDAY  FIRE DANGER MAY REACH CRITICAL LEVELS OVER EASTERN
COLORADO  AS WINDS INCREASE AND HUMIDITIES DROP AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT  WITH 
A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH FRIDAY  ESPECIALLY
OVER THE MOUNTAINS. SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE  WITH SNOW LEVELS STARTING OUT AROUND 8000 FEET LATE
WEDNESDAY BUT LOWERING TO AROUND 5000 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ABOVE 10000 FEET.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For BACA County, CO
1157 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2015
TODAY
SUNNY. HIGHS 47 TO 58. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 30 TO 37. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS 52 TO 65. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 33 TO 43. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS 54 TO 67. LIGHT WINDS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 33 TO 41.
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 52 TO 63. LOWS 27 TO 35.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 46 TO 54.
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 21 TO 30.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 38 TO 46.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 21 TO 27.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 41 TO 51.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Colorado
                             COLORADO                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 APR 3-APR 7 APR 5-APR 11   APR        APR-JUN                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal        Above      Below     Normal                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
MARCH 29TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1886...
Atlanta GA was drenched with a record 7.36 inches of rain in 24 hours. (The
Weather Channel)
...1920...
Clear Spring MD received 31 inches of snow in 24 hours to establish a state
record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
...1921...
The temperature in Washington D.C. dropped from 82 degrees to 26 degres
thus ending an early spring. (David Ludlum)
...1935...
A severe duststorm blanketed Amarillo TX for 84 hours. During one six hour
period the visibility was near zero. (28th-31st) (The Weather Channel)
...1945...
Providence RI hit 90 degrees to establish a March record for the New
England area. (The Weather Channel)
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Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
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