/    
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/watches.html   http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/warnings.html   http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/special.html
Click on button above to view CO Watches/Warnings/Special Wx Statements.
Baca County, CO Weather and Climate Synopsis
To access other UK Agricultural Weather Center Pages use the pull-down menu below.

(Click image to zoom) or
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/640x480/2xse_rd_anim.gif
36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
Satellite images from NOAA
Weather Summary   Hourly Observations   Nowcast   Agricultural Weather Outlook   
7 Day Forecast   Medium & Long Range Outlook   Almanac   Historical Facts   
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/cltrain.gif    
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/clrtanom.gif    
US Weekly Rainfall Departure   
US Weekly Temperature Departure   
Also see:   

A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
320 PM MST MON NOV 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM MST MON NOV 24 2014

BEST LIFT WITH TODAYS SHORTWAVE IS MOVING OUT OF THE MOUNTAINS AND
ACROSS THE PLAINS AT THIS TIME. THERE WOUND UP BEING A NICE LITTLE
LOW LEVEL FRONT WITH THIS WAVE WITH A QUICK BIT OF WIND AND
COOLING ALONG WITH THE SHOWERS. SKIES ALREADY STARTING TO CLEAR
WEST OF THE FRONT RANGE AND ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER...AND THE
SHOWERS SHOULD MAKE THEIR WAY OUT OF OUR AREA ON SCHEDULE THIS
EVENING. IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A FAIRLY GOOD BREAK WITH
CLEARING TONIGHT...THOUGH THERE WILL STILL BE SOME SHALLOW
CONVECTION UPSTREAM OF THE FRONT RANGE.

THERE WILL BE STRONG WARM ADVECTION ALOFT OVERNIGHT AS THE 130
KNOT JET CORE MOVES OVER US. NEARLY IDEAL PROFILE FOR AN AMPLIFIED
MOUNTAIN WAVE BY TUESDAY MORNING WITH THE STRONG
INVERSION...STRONG NORTHERLY JET...AND NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 50
KNOTS JUST ABOVE THE MOUNTAINS. DURING THE DAY THE INVERSION WILL
LOWER AND WEAKEN...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE NW AND
WEAKEN...WHILE THE FLOW AT MOUNTAINTOP WILL INCREASE A BIT MORE.
THIS SHOULD LEAD TO MORE OF A JUMP THAN A STANDING WAVE BY LATE IN
THE DAY...SO BETTER CHANCE OF GETTING EAST OF THE FOOTHILLS BUT
LESS AMPLIFICATION. WITH NO COLD AIR ON THE PLAINS AND A GREAT
AMPLIFICATION PROFILE...AND THEN THE MORE MIXED WAVE LATER
ON...INCLUDING THE NEAR FOOTHILLS ZONES LOOKS LIKE A GOOD CALL.
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE 100 MPH WINDS SOMEWHERE ON
TUESDAY...MOST LIKELY THE HIGHER WIND PRONE AREAS BUT NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION FOR THE LOWER BOULDER FOOTHILLS DURING THE BEST WAVE
TUESDAY MORNING. I WILL GO WITH A WARNING AND EXTEND THE VALID
TIME TO START AT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND GO THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
LOWER THREAT OF HIGH WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT BUT IT WILL BE PLENTY
WINDY AND MORE WIDESPREAD.

FINALLY...MOISTURE WILL COME BACK IN DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.
INITIALLY THE LOW LEVELS ARE UNDER THE INVERSION...BUT THERE WILL
BE A PERIOD WITH SOME HIGHER LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE WARM
ADVECTION...ENOUGH TO MAKE SOME LIGHT SNOW FROM ABOVE. IN ADDITION
WITH THE STRONG WINDS THE RISING PART OF THE MOUNTAIN WAVE COULD
BE A SIGNIFICANT SNOW PRODUCER. AND PLENTY OF WIND TO BLOW AROUND
WHATEVER IS THERE...SO WE WILL HAVE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
STARTING AT 11 AM AND GOING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM MST MON NOV 24 2014

A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER
COLORADO TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE COUPLED
WITH STRONG OROGRAPHIC COMPONENT TO ALLOW FOR ADDITIONAL  SNOWFALL
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW/BLOWING SNOW ENOUGH TO
CONTINUE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY
MORNING. ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS...MDLS CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW
SHOWERS INTO THE NORTHEAST PLAINS OVERNIGHT. STRONG DOWNSLOPE NEAR
THE FOOTHILLS SHOULD NEGATE MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE
URBAN CORRIDOR FROM AROUND LONGMONT SOUTHWARD. NORTH AND EAST WL
GO WITH SCT POPS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. NOT BIG CHANGES IN THE
GRIDS FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD AND THE RIDGE WILL DEAMPLIFY ALLOWING THE FLOW
ALOFT TO BE MORE ZONAL. AS A RESULT...IT WILL BE DRY AND WARMER
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE STORM TRACK WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH WITH
PLENTY OF PACIFIC MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND
INTO THE DAKOTAS. A COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO SLIP INTO NORTHEAST
COLORADO SATURDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING FOR COOLER TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY. OVERALL HOWEVER...IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH MONDAY.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, Hourly Obs., [2nd Source TWC]

BACA County, Colorado Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps: Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Regional Hourly Observations For BACA County
500 PM MST MON NOV 24 2014
...PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLO. SPRINGS  MOCLDY    30  16  56 N17       30.11R WCI  18          
A. F. ACADEMY  MIX PCPN  27  18  69 N16       30.11R WCI  14          
ELLICOTT       NOT AVBL                                               
FALCON         NOT AVBL                                               
FORT CARSON    MOCLDY    30  17  58 N12       30.09R WCI  20          
LIMON          CLOUDY    31  19  61 N22G31    30.11R WCI  18          
MONUMENT HILL  FLURRIES  25  18  74 N10       30.10R WCI  15          
TRINIDAD       CLOUDY    34  17  50 N15G25    30.10R WCI  24          
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Colorado
Based on observations at 500pm MST, Monday November 24, 2014
Across Colorado...temperatures are near 36 degrees west, near 27 degrees central, and near 41 degrees east. Current sky conditions are partly cloudy west, mostly cloudy central, and mostly cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 35%, and the dew point is near 11 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 20 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 41%, and the dew point is near 19 degrees. Winds are from the north at 14 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the north at 9 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 18 degrees central. Winds are from the north at 22 mph with gusts at 30 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 41 degrees at LAMAR. The lowest temperature is 5 degrees at WOLF CREEK PAS.


US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BACA County,CO
1224 PM MST MON NOV 24 2014

 DAY ONE  THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD 
SNOW  HEAVY AT TIMES  EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL 
MOUNTAINS.  NORTH WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH 
WILL CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN 
PASSES. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON  WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS FALLING
NORTH OF COTTONWOOD PASS. THIS WILL BRING TOTAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 10 TO 20 INCHES. 

SNOW WILL ALSO SPREAD INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE MOUNTAINS LATE THIS 
MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE 
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER  WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH 
RANGE.  

ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE PLAINS DURING THE 
AFTERNOON  THOUGH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.  

SNOW SHOWERS WILL DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE 
EVENING.  SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SAWATCH 
AND MOSQUITO RANGES OVERNIGHT  THOUGH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL 
REMAIN AROUND AN INCH OR LESS.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND OROGRAPHIC FLOW WILL ALLOW
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF LAKE AND CHAFFEE
COUNTIES  PRIMARILY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FROM TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME  IT APPEARS THAT AN ADDITIONAL 
TWO TO SIX INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF LAKE AND CHAFFEE COUNTIES FROM TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

EATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE 
LIKELY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS.


NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For BACA County, CO
303 PM MST MON NOV 24 2014
TONIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT. LOWS 6 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 31 TO 40. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH. MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE 22 TO 30.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 41 TO 49. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 25 TO 34. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.
THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 45 TO 56. LOWS 22 TO 34.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 38 TO 46. LOWS 19 TO 26.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Colorado
                             COLORADO                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                NOV 30-DEC 4  DEC 2-DEC 8   DEC        DEC-FEB                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above      Below      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
NOVEMBER 24TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1812...
Southwesterly winds of hurricane force sank ships and unroofed buildings at
Philadelphia and New York City. (David Ludlum)
...1863...
The "battle above the clouds" was fought on Lookout Mountain near
Chattanooga. Pre-frontal clouds obscured the upper battle- field aiding a
Union victory. (David Ludlum)
...1950...
The temperature at Chicago IL dipped to 2 below zero to equal their record
for the month established on the 29th in 1872. On the first of the month
that year Chicago established a record high for November with a reading of
81 degrees. (The Weather Channel)
...1982...
Hurricane Iwa lashed the Hawaiian Islands of Niihau, Kauai, and Oahu with
high winds and surf. Winds gusting to 120 mph caused extensive shoreline
damage. Damage totalled 150 million dollars on Kauai, and fifty million
dollars on Oahu. The peak storm surge on the south shore was six to eight
feet. It marked the first time in 25 years that Hawaii had been affected by
a hurricane. (The Weather Channel)
http://www.ca.uky.edu   http://www.uky.edu    
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
Mobile Web by Usablenet / Feedback