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Baca County, CO Weather and Climate Synopsis
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
428 AM MDT Wed Sep 28 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 428 AM MDT Wed Sep 28 2016

High amplitude upper level ridge will remain centered across the
forecast area today, and then begin to shift slowly east tonight.
This will keep dry weather in place. Clear skies this morning
should give way to a few clouds later this afternoon into the
evening but most of those would be in/near the mountains. Some
models are even suggesting enough moisture and instability for a
few afternoon/evening storms over the mountains but with upper
level ridge and the lack of moisture see nothing more than a few
high based sprinkles possible in the Summit county area.
Temperatures should be similar to those observed yesterday,
although some cooling should be noted on the eastern plains with a
weak backdoor cold front.

Dry high pressure will allow temperatures to drop to near or just
above normal for lows tonight. Expect just a few mid/upper level
clouds to remain in place as light southwest flow develops on the
back side of the ridge.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 428 AM MDT Wed Sep 28 2016

The weakening upper level ridge over eastern Colorado will deliver
one more warm day on Thursday. The plains will be dry, but the
mountains will be under moist southwesterly flow that will bring
sub-tropical moisture to the western half of the state. Isolated
showers or thunderstorms will be the result. High temperatures
across the plains should reach the lower and mid 80s.  

Sub-tropical moisture will continue moving over the state from the
southwest through Friday and Saturday as the upper ridge loses its
grasp on Colorado weather and moves off to the east. The southwest
flow aloft will continue producing the chance of showers in the
mountains through Friday and into Saturday. Some showers may
spread onto the plains Friday evening.  

Over the weekend, temperatures will be gradually cooling as the
upper level pattern transitions to an upper trough approaching
from the Pacific Northwest. By the middle of next week,
temperatures will be cool enough in the mountains for
precipitation to fall in the form of snow.   

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, Hourly Obs., [2nd Source TWC]

BACA County, Colorado Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps: Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Regional Hourly Observations For BACA County
700 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2016
...PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLO. SPRINGS  FAIR      54  28  36 N8        30.34R                  
A. F. ACADEMY  FAIR      43  25  49 N13       30.36R                  
SCHRIEVER AFB  NOT AVBL                                               
ELLICOTT       NOT AVBL                                               
FALCON         FAIR      55  26  33 NW8       30.38R                  
FORT CARSON    FAIR      54  28  36 NW9       30.30R                  
LIMON          FAIR      43  26  51 NW5       30.30R                  
MONUMENT HILL  FAIR      43  27  52 MISG      30.40R                  
TRINIDAD       FAIR      49  30  48 W15       30.29R                  
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Colorado
Based on observations at 700am MDT, Wednesday September 28, 2016
Across Colorado...temperatures are near 52 degrees west, near 50 degrees central, and near 44 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. In the west, relative humidity is near 58%, and the dew point is near 38 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 44%, and the dew point is near 29 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 67%, and the dew point is near 34 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the southeast at 7 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 9 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 9 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 54 degrees at FORT CARSON, COTTONWOOD PAS, and COLO. SPRINGS. The lowest temperature is 27 degrees at ALAMOSA.


US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BACA County,CO
636 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2016

 DAY ONE  TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCALIZED GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND
LIGHTNING. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  MAINLY OVER THE 
MOUNTAINS  EACH DAY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE PRIMARY
THREATS FROM MOST STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.
HOWEVER  A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL  ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.


7-Day Forecast For BACA County, CO
700 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2016
TODAY
SUNNY. HIGHS 62 TO 73. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 39 TO 47. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 60 TO 72. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42 TO 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING
THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS 60 TO 70. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 41 TO 49.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 58 TO 69.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 40 TO 48.
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 60 TO 71. LOWS 38 TO 46.
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 56 TO 67. LOWS 32 TO 40.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 54 TO 65.

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Colorado
                             COLORADO                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 OCT 3-OCT 7 OCT 5-OCT 11    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
SEPTEMBER 28TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1836...
The first of three early season snows brought four inches of snow to
Hamilton NY, and two inches to Ashby MA. (David Ludlum)
...1893...
Albuquerque NM was soaked with 2.25 inches of rain, enough to establish a
24 hour record for that city. (The Weather Channel)
...1917...
A hurricane hit Pensacola FL. Winds gusted to 95 mph, and the barometric
pressure dipped to 28.50 inches. Winds at Mobile AL gusted to 75 mph. (The
Weather Channel)
...1987...
Thunderstorms produced up to ten inches of rain in southern Kansas and
north central Oklahoma overnight. The Chikaskia River rose 2.5 feet above
flood stage at Blackwell OK during the day causing flooding in Kay and
Grant counties of north central Oklahoma. Early morning thunderstorms in
the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas produced 3.07 inches of rain in six
hours at McAllen. Thunderstorms produced up to six inches of rain in
southeastern Texas later in the day. (National Weather Summary) (Storm
Data)
...1988...
Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front in the central U.S. produced
severe weather from northern Texas to the Lower Missouri Valley during the
late afternoon and evening hours. Hail three inches in diameter was
reported at Nolan TX, and wind gusts to 80 mph were reported at Lawrence
KS. Thunderstorms drenched downtown Kansas City MO with up to four inches
of rain, leaving some cars stranded in water six feet deep. (Storm Data)
(The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Thunderstorms over northeastern Florida drenched Jacksonville with 4.28
inches of rain between midnight and 6 AM EDT. Unseasonably cool weather
prevailed in the northeastern U.S. Five cities reported record low
temperatures for the date, including Binghamton NY with a reading of 30
degrees. Morning lows were in the 20s in northern New England. Unseasonably
mild weather prevailed in the northwestern U.S., with afternoon highs in
the upper 70s and 80s. In Oregon, Astoria reported a record high of 83
degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
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