/
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/watches.html   http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/warnings.html   http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/special.html
Click on button above to view CO Watches/Warnings/Special Wx Statements.
Baca County, CO Weather and Climate Synopsis
To access other UK Agricultural Weather Center Pages use the pull-down menu below.

(Click image to zoom) or
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/640x480/2xse_rd_anim.gif
36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
Satellite images from NOAA
Weather Summary   Hourly Observations   Nowcast   Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast   Medium & Long Range Outlook   Almanac   Historical Facts
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/cltrain.gif
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/clrtanom.gif
US Weekly Rainfall Departure
US Weekly Temperature Departure
Also see:

A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
332 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 331 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

An upper low moving into southwestern Colorado continues to
provide good lift over the forecast area as moisture continues to
stream in on northeasterly low level flow.  A surface low over
southeastern Colorado will begin to turn surface flow northerly,
converging moisture in the easterly flow. This is already
providing good focus for the current line of storms north to south
east of the urban corridor. CAPE values around 2000 J/kg expected
over Elbert, Lincoln and Washington and 0-6km shear values between
40 and 50 kts will keep the threat of severe storms with large
hail, damaging winds and possible tornadoes continuing through
early this evening. The other concern may be localized flash
flooding with such a moist environment.

Upslope north-northeasterly flow will be increasing tonight which
will focus more precipitation over the Palmer Divide area. Also,
convergence out over the eastern plains will help focus
precipitation. As the upper low moves closer, storm motions will
become slower, increasing the flooding threat. Showers and
thunderstorms should become more stratiform tonight. Some models
have 2 to 3.5 inches across these areas through Friday. Over the
mountains, snow levels are expected to drop to between 9000 and
10000 feet. Rich moisture and upslope flow will continue to bring
accumulating snow above 10000 feet. Winter Weather Advisory will
continue for expected snow amounts and travel impacts.

Rain and high elevation snow showers will continue Friday morning
with a few thunderstorms possible as the upper low moves over
eastern Colorado. Continued northerly flow and cloud cover from
precipitation will limit much heating tomorrow. Max temperatures
are expected to stay in the 50s to low 60s. Showers should be
decreasing over the foothills and urban corridor in the afternoon
as flow starts to turn northwesterly to dry out and QG vertical
motions will turn downward.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 331 PM MDT Thu May 26 2016

Upper level low pressure system will move into the Central Plains
Friday night. Weak subsidence and drying will allow lingering
showers and storms to decrease during the evening, ending last
over the far eastern plains and in the mountains where weak
orographics could help some light showers hold into late evening. 

For the Memorial Day weekend Saturday through Monday, we should
see fairly typical weather for this time of year as generally
light west/southwest flow aloft prevails. That should mean near
normal temperatures with highs in the lower to mid 70s over the
plains, and 50s/60s in the mountains.

Temperatures could turn slightly cooler with a little better
chance of rain Tuesday, as long as a cold front arrives as
expected. This front appears to be pushed southward by a short
wave trough moving across the northern U.S. The slightly cooler
weather may be replaced by warmer and drier conditions by
Thursday into next weekend if ridge builds in as advertised.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, Hourly Obs., [2nd Source TWC]

BACA County, Colorado Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps: Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Regional Hourly Observations For BACA County
400 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016
...PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLO. SPRINGS  TSTM      48  37  65 W8        29.91R                  
A. F. ACADEMY  LGT RAIN  50  39  66 N20       29.90S                  
SCHRIEVER AFB  NOT AVBL                                               
ELLICOTT       TSTM     N/A N/A N/A W10       29.91R                  
FALCON         TSTM      44  34  66 N7        29.94S                  
FORT CARSON    TSTM      51  41  67 NW16      29.87S                  
LIMON          CLOUDY    63  45  51 E10       29.81R                  
MONUMENT HILL  TSTM      45  36  70 SE7       29.97F                  
TRINIDAD       FAIR      65  37  35 NW30G37   29.77F                  
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Colorado
Based on observations at 400pm MDT, Thursday May 26, 2016
Across Colorado...temperatures are near 69 degrees west, near 46 degrees central, and near 77 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, thunderstorms central, and fair east. In the west, relative humidity is near 20%, and the dew point is near 27 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 82%, and the dew point is near 41 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 37%, and the dew point is near 49 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the southwest at 22 mph with gusts at 30 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the east at 9 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to thunderstorms. Winds are from the southeast at 24 mph with gusts at 35 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 82 degrees at SPRINGFIELD. The lowest temperature is 30 degrees at WOLF CREEK PAS.


US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BACA County,CO
1105 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2016

 DAY ONE  TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE PLAINS. LARGE HAIL  DAMAGING
WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE. 
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 2 PM  NORTH OF A LINE FROM
TRINIDAD TO SPRINGFIELD WITH THE HIGHEST RISK ALONG AND NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 50.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT  STEADY RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIKES PEAK REGION. AN
INCH OF RAIN  WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES  WILL BE
POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING ON THE
WALDO BURN SCAR WILL BE WITH STRONGER STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON  CONTINUOUS RAINFALL OVERNIGHT COULD LEAD TO STEADY
RISES ALONG THE FOUNTAIN CREEK. THOSE LIVING IN AND NEAR THE WALDO
BURN SCAR SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TO THE WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT.

SNOW WILL OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SNOW
WILL FALL GENERALLY ABOVE 11000 FEET TODAY, DROPPING DOWN TO 9000
FEET TONIGHT. HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PIKES PEAK  WITH
MODERATE AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS THE WET MOUNTAINS  THE NORTHERN
SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS  AND THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY 
MORNING  ALONG WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. AN ADDITIONAL FOUR TO
SIX INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER PIKES PEAK  AND THE OTHER
MOUNTAIN AREAS ABOVE 10000 FEET COULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR
TWO OF SNOW.

FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK  DAILY SCATTERED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE  ESPECIALLY
OVER THE MOUNTAINS. MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL. STRONGER STORMS MAY OCCUR LATER
IN THE WEEK BUT THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS LOW AT
THIS TIME.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE PLAINS, AND THE
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9000 FEET.


7-Day Forecast For BACA County, CO
256 PM MDT THU MAY 26 2016
TONIGHT
PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS AND NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 4 INCHES. LOWS 31 TO 40. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING
THEN RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 3 INCHES. HIGHS 42 TO 54. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS 31 TO 40. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING
THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS 51 TO 62. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS 35 TO 44. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 55 TO 66.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 37 TO 45.
MEMORIAL DAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 56 TO 67.
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 37 TO 45. HIGHS 53 TO 64.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 53 TO 68. LOWS 37 TO 45.

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Colorado
                             COLORADO                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 JUN 1-JUN 5  JUN 3-JUN 9    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below       Normal      Below      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
/////////////////////////
MAY 26TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1771...
A famous Virginia flood occurred as heavy rains in the mountains brought
all rivers in the state to record high levels. (Sandra and TI Richard
Sanders - 1987)
...1894...
A tornado (unofficially F2) moved along a five mile long path 
east of Jeffersonville IN (Clark County). The Louisville 
weather office's log book simply read, Partly cloudy, and 
threatening during the greater portion of the day. Shower, 
11.56am12.04 pm; amount, .05. While rain was falling, a few 
indistinct, distant peals of thunder were heard. (NWS Louisville)
...1917...
A tornado touched down near Louisiana MO about noon and remained on the
ground for a distance of 293 miles, finally lifting seven hours and twenty
minutes later in eastern Jennings County IN. The twister cut a swath of
destruction two and a half miles wide through Mattoon IL. There were 101
persons killed in the tornado, including 53 at Mattoon, and 38 at
Charleston IL. Damage from the storm totalled 2.5 million dollars. (David
Ludlum)
...1965...
An F2 tornado was spotted in Simpson County. (NWS Louisville)
...1967...
A slow moving nor-easter battered New England with high 
winds, heavy rain, and record late season snow on this day. 
Winds 70 to 90 mph in gusts occurred along the coast. Over 7 
inches of rain fell at Nantucket, Massachusetts with 6.57 
inches falling in 24 hours to set a new 24 hour rainfall 
record. 24.9 inches of snow fell at Mount Washington, New 
Hampshire to set a new May snowfall record. (NWS Louisville)
...1968...
An F2 tornado struck Smiths Grove (Warren County). A barn was 
destroyed and another damaged. (NWS Louisville)
...1989...
A tornado produced F1 damage along a four mile long path 
through Allen County, resulting in a quarter million dollars 
in damage. An F1 tornado was on the ground for 6 miles in 
Simpson County. (NWS Louisville)
...1996...
Lightning struck and damaged two homes in Louisville. (NWS Louisville)




	
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
Mobile Web by Usablenet / Feedback