/    
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/watches.html   http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/warnings.html   http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/co/special.html
Click on button above to view CO Watches/Warnings/Special Wx Statements.
Baca County, CO Weather and Climate Synopsis
To access other UK Agricultural Weather Center Pages use the pull-down menu below.

(Click image to zoom) or
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/640x480/2xse_rd_anim.gif
36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
Satellite images from NOAA
Weather Summary   Hourly Observations   Nowcast   Agricultural Weather Outlook   
7 Day Forecast   Medium & Long Range Outlook   Almanac   Historical Facts   
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/cltrain.gif    
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/clrtanom.gif    
US Weekly Rainfall Departure   
US Weekly Temperature Departure   
Also see:   

A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
751 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 724 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

THIS EVENING WE HAVE TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION...ALONG THE WYOMING
BORDER IN WELD COUNTY TO THE SSE ACROSS NORTHERN WASHINGTON
COUNTY...THEN ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE. WITH LIGHT
WINDS ALOFT STORMS HAVE MOVED SLOWLY WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AN
INCH IN A HALF HOUR...WITH THE HIGHEST REPORT OVER 3 INCHES IN AN
HOUR NEAR WINDSOR THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT THIS CONVECTION TO
SLOWLY SLIDE EAST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT.

AS UPPER TROUGH DROPS SOUTH TOMORROW...WE WILL LIKEY SEE
CONVECTION SLIDE SOUTH...THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW EARLY...SECOND
QUESTION IS WHETHER THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION WILL BE CONFINED TO
THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. BEST IDEA IS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SLIDING SOUTH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON...WITH SOME DRYING FROM THE NORTH LATE AFTERNOON. ONCE
AGAIN WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN.  

FOR NOW GIVEN THE QUESTIONS...NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.   

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, Hourly Obs., [2nd Source TWC]

BACA County, Colorado Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps: Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Regional Hourly Observations For BACA County
800 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014
...PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLO. SPRINGS  CLOUDY    62  59  90 NE13      30.25R THUNDER          
A. F. ACADEMY  LGT RAIN  61  59  94 N8        30.27R                  
ELLICOTT       TSTM      58  57  97 E21G26    30.23R                  
FALCON         LGT RAIN  57  56  96 NE12      30.30R                  
FORT CARSON    LGT RAIN  61  61 100 E6        30.23R                  
LIMON          LGT RAIN  61  59  93 SE6       30.22R                  
MONUMENT HILL  TSTM      55  54  94 N7        30.31R                  
TRINIDAD       MOCLDY    71  58  63 W10       30.15S                  
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Colorado
Based on observations at 800pm MDT, Tuesday July 29, 2014
Across Colorado...temperatures are near 62 degrees west, near 62 degrees central, and near 69 degrees east. Current sky conditions are rain west, heavy rain central, and light rain east. In the west, relative humidity is near 83%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 66 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the north at 20 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds and rain. Winds are from the northwest at 10 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to heavy rain. Winds are from the north at 13 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds and light rain. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 73 degrees at CORTEZ. The lowest temperature is 46 degrees at MONARCH PASS.


US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BACA County,CO
1209 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

 DAY ONE  THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORM THREAT TODAY AS AN EMBEDDED 
DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE MONSOON PLUME ACTS IN CONCERT WITH AFTERNOON 
HEATING TO GENERATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE 
MOUNTAINS.  THESE WILL MOVE OFF INTO THE PLAINS DURING THE LATE 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS BEFORE DEVELOPING INTO A THUNDERSTORM 
CLUSTER ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PLAINS OVERNIGHT. DUE TO
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS. THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS WILL BE THE BURN
SCARS. HOWEVER AREAS WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAIN  AND LOCATIONS IN AND NEAR STEEP TERRAIN WILL ALSO SEE AN
ELEVATED THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FLASH
FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS AS A THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER DEVELOPS
AND SLOWLY MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST.

ONE OR TWO STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS 
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  HAIL UP TO 1 INCH 
IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE 
STRONGER STORMS.  

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE A THREAT WITH ALL 
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ASSOCIATED FLASH FLOODING
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER MANY PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN COLORADO
FROM WEDNESDAY INTO POSSIBLY THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE MOUNTAINS MOST
AFTERNOONS  WITH STORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE ADJACENT HIGH
VALLEYS AND NEARBY PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME  IT APPEARS THAT THE THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
HIGHEST WEDNESDAY  ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM LATER THIS WEEK 
INTO THIS WEEKEND. IN ADDITION  IF ENOUGH PRECIPITATION
FALLS  PORTIONS OF THE ARKANSAS AND PURGATOIRE RIVERS  ALONG
WITH THEIR TRIBUTARY CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
AT TIMES.

PLEASE REMEMBER THAT AREA BURN SCARS  URBAN AREAS  STEEP
TERRAIN LOCATIONS AND AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RECENT HEAVY
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO THE FLASH FLOOD RISK.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For BACA County, CO
829 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
REST OF TONIGHT
PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT
THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. LOWS 45 TO 52. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING
THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. HIGHS 54 TO 66. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE 42 TO 49. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 56 TO 69. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 45 TO 53. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 60 TO 72.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 45 TO 53.
SATURDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 59 TO 72.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 47 TO 54.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 62 TO 75.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 47 TO 55.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 62 TO 73.
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 46 TO 54. HIGHS 63 TO 75.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Colorado
                             COLORADO                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 AUG 4-AUG 8 AUG 6-AUG 12   AUG        AUG-OCT                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below     Normal      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
//////////////////////
JULY 29TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1876...
The Louisville weather office business log book mentioned that the annual 
rent for the office was $200. There was some consideration given to 
moving the office to a different location, the cost to move the weather 
office would be $38.
...1898...
The temperature at Prineville OR soared to 119 degrees to establish a state
record, which was tied on the 10th of August at Pendleton. (The Weather
Channel)
...1905...
Heavy rain in southwestern Connecticut caused a dam break, and the
resulting flood caused a quarter of a million dollars damage at Bridgeport.
As much as eleven inches of rain fell prior to the flood. (David Ludlum)
...1981...
Fifty cattle, each weighing 800 pounds, were killed by lightning near Vance
AL. The lightning struck a tree and then spread along the ground killing
the cattle. (The Weather Channel)
...1981...
Also on this date...
The Louisville weather office moved in to a brand new building (with the FAA) 
at Standiford Field.
...1987...
Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Minnesota to Indiana and
Illinois. A thunderstorm at Janesville WI produced wind gusts to 104 mph
which flipped over two airplanes, and blew another plane 300 feet down the
runway. The northeastern U.S. experienced some relief from the heat. Nine
cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Saint
Johnsbury VT with a reading of 42 degrees. Barnet VT reported a morning low
of 33 degrees, with frost reported on vegetation. (Storm Data) (The
National Weather Summary)
...1988...
Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Minnesota
and Wisconsin. Hail three inches in diameter was reported south of Saint
Cloud MN. Hot weather prevailed in the western U.S. Fresno CA reported a
record thirteen straight days of 100 degree heat. (Storm Data) (The
National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Morning thunderstorms in the Upper Midwest produced more than five inches
of rain west of Virgil SD. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms deluged the
foothills and adjacent plains of Colorado with heavy rain. Rains of six to
seven and a half inches fell in eight hours north of Greeley. Hail and
heavy rain caused several million dollars damage in Weld County. (Storm
Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 
http://www.ca.uky.edu   http://www.uky.edu    
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
Mobile Web by Usablenet / Feedback