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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
946 AM MDT MON OCT 5 2015
ISSUED AT 945 AM MDT MON OCT 5 2015
AREAS OF FOG ARE BEGINNING TO LIFT AND DISSIPATE ACROSS THE
AREA...ALTHOUGH IT WILL TAKE THE LONGEST TO ERODE EAST OF A LINE
FROM STERLING TO LIMON. SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY ACROSS WESTERN
COLORADO IS MOVING NORTHEAST...WITH THE LEADING EDGE EXPECTED TO
ARRIVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AROUND 11 AM...THEN THE DAYS
WARMTH WILL HELP GET SHOWERS GOING ACROSS THE REST OF THE
MOUNTAINS SOON AFTER. HI RES MODELS KEEPING ANY HINT OF ACTIVITY
OVER THE FRONT RANGE UNTIL AT LEAST 2 PM IF NOT LATER. HAVE
DELAYED POPS IN THE CURRENT FORECAST. STILL EXPECTING ANY
CONVECTION ACTIVITY TO REMAIN OVER THE HIGH COUNTRY AND WEST OF A
LINE FROM EASTERN WELD DOWN TO EASTERN ELBERT COUNTY OVER THE
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary Current Surface Map, Hourly Obs., [2nd Source TWC]
BACA County, Colorado Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps: Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress
Regional Hourly Observations For BACA County
1200 PM MDT MON OCT 05 2015
...PIKES PEAK/PALMER DIVIDE AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS...
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
COLO. SPRINGS PTSUNNY 56 48 74 CALM 30.16F
A. F. ACADEMY MOSUNNY 58 48 69 VRB1 30.15F
ELLICOTT NOT AVBL
FALCON PTSUNNY 57 47 70 S3 30.18F
FORT CARSON MOSUNNY 59 49 69 E5 30.14F
LIMON SUNNY 64 50 60 SE9 30.12F
MONUMENT HILL SUNNY 68 36 30 SW8 30.16F
TRINIDAD SUNNY 68 47 46 W8 30.15F
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Colorado
Based on observations at 1200pm MDT, Monday October 05, 2015
Across Colorado...temperatures are near 54 degrees west, near 62 degrees central, and near 69 degrees east. Current sky conditions are light rain west, mostly sunny central, and mostly sunny east. In the west, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 54 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 57%, and the dew point is near 47 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 56%, and the dew point is near 53 degrees. There is patchy fog west. Winds are from the west at 3 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are from the north at 8 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northwest at 7 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 69 degrees at LAMAR. The lowest temperature is 43 degrees at MONARCH PASS.
US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BACA County,CO
1127 AM MDT MON OCT 5 2015
DAY ONE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF I-25. THE MAIN THREATS FROM
STORMS WILL BE LIGHTING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE REGION TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND HIGH VALLEYS WITH LESSER CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE PLAINS. THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER MOUNTAINS MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE
PRIMARY STORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
7-Day Forecast For BACA County, CO
1106 AM MDT MON OCT 5 2015
PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 53 TO 65. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT
THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS 40 TO 47. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING
THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS 55 TO 66. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 38 TO 45. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 51 TO 63. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 37 TO 45. HIGHS 52 TO 64.
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 51 TO 67. LOWS 38 TO 44.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40 TO 46. HIGHS 60 TO 71.
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Colorado
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
OCT 10-14 OCT 12-18 OCT OCT-DEC
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Above Above Below Below
Precipitation: Below Normal Above Above
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
The journal of John Winthrop recorded that a mighty tempest struck eastern
New England. This second severe hurricane in three years blew down many
trees in mile long tracks. (David Ludlum)
The famous "Pumpkin Flood" occurred on the Delaware and Susquehanna Rivers.
Harrisburg PA reported a river stage of twenty-two feet. The heavy rains
culminated a wet season. (David Ludlum)
The temperature at Sentinel AZ soared to 116 degrees to establish an
October record for the nation. (The Weather Channel)
Heavy rains, mostly the remnants of Tropical Storm Joanne, fell across much
of Arizona. It was believed to be the first time in Arizona weather history
that a tropical storm entered the state with its circulation still intact.
The center was over Flagstaff early on the 7th. (3rd-7th) (The Weather
It was another day of scorching heat for the southwestern U.S. Afternoon
highs of 102 degrees in Downtown San Francisco, and 104 degrees at
Monterrey, established all-time records. The high of 101 degrees at San
Jose was a record for October. Sacramento tied their record for October for
the third time in the month, with a reading of 102 degrees. The high for
the nation was 111 degrees at San Luis Obispo and Palm Springs. Twenty
cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the
date, including Knoxville TN with a reading of 34 degrees. (The National
Thirteen cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for
the date, including Duluth MN with a reading of 21 degrees. Goodland KS
reported an afternoon high of 39 degrees. Showers over Upper Michigan
produced an inch of snow at Marquette. (The National Weather Summary)
Showers and thunderstorms associated with Tropical Storm Raymond deluged
southeastern Arizona with heavy rain. Up to four and a half inches of rain
was reported north of Wilcox. Three- fourths of the streets in the town of
Wilcox were left under eighteen inches of water, and damage exceeded a
Evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather
in Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle. Thunderstorms produced high winds
which gusted to 80 mph at White Deer TX, and resulted in one death at
Pocasset OK. Thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail at Pampa TX and
Lefors TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky